Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | BC +125 WYO -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +11 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | BC -3.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.4 (-21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -2.3 (+8.7) | 135.1 (-28.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -0.7 (+10.3) | 134.2 (-27.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -2.4 (+8.6) | 134.6 (-27.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -2.1 (+8.9) | 134.3 (-27.3) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-6 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#177) | -3.3 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#157) | -0.91 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#171) | -1.63 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#63) | 0.419 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.2% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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