Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -111 GCU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +12 | 98 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -3.1 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 110.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -2.3 (+14.3) | 124.7 (-26.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -1.1 (+13.1) | 122.5 (-24.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -2.3 (+14.3) | 121.2 (-23.2) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -2.4 (+14.4) | 123.2 (-25.2) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-9 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#96) | 7.7 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#90) | 1.73 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#88) | 3.12 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#88) | 0.747 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 22.6% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.3% | 39.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.6% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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