Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +4 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -2.4 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -1.4 (-2.6) | 131.9 (+0.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -2.3 (-1.7) | 134.3 (-2.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -2.1 (-1.9) | 130.4 (+1.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -1.2 (-2.8) | 131.4 (+0.6) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#98) | 6.6 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#28) | 0.17 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#31) | 0.11 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#49) | 0.554 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 41.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 34.3% | 38.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 12.9% |
Game Analysis
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