Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | HPU -175 CMU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +1 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -5.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (-24.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -3.0 (-2.0) | 154.9 (-19.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -3.3 (-2.3) | 153.0 (-18.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -3.7 (-2.7) | 152.8 (-17.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -3.5 (-2.5) | 153.1 (-18.1) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#147) | -4.1 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#142) | -1.24 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#133) | -2.45 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.654 (#43) | 0.427 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 43.6% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 42.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 61.5% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.