Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -1000 ILST +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +16 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -5.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -6.6 (+9.4) | 133.8 (+4.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -7.9 (+8.1) | 133.1 (+4.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -4.1 (+11.9) | 136.2 (+1.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -3.7 (+12.3) | 135.1 (+2.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-8 | 8-7 |
| Away | 0-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#128) | -2.9 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#104) | -0.37 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#109) | -1.44 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#228) | 0.372 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 40.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 24.6% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 34.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.7% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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