Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -333 HOW +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +23 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -6.0 (+17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -4.4 (+18.6) | 145.8 (+23.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -7.0 (+16.0) | 141.0 (+28.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -4.6 (+18.4) | 145.9 (+23.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -3.7 (+19.3) | 148.2 (+20.8) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2020 | BEL 95 – 78 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-3 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#196) | -7.2 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#216) | -1.40 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#223) | -2.50 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.367 (#311) | 0.407 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 62.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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