Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
| Money | DETM +130 BRY -167 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +10 | 186 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -6.1 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+35.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -4.2 (-5.8) | 148.5 (+37.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -5.4 (-4.6) | 149.5 (+36.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -4.2 (-5.8) | 150.2 (+35.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -4.2 (-5.8) | 150.6 (+35.4) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#148) | 7.5 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#190) | 2.02 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#180) | 2.86 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#136) | 0.575 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 43.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 80.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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