Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -1600 OHIO +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -10.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (-23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -9.6 (-5.6) | 152.0 (-16.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -7.8 (-3.8) | 147.7 (-11.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -8.8 (-4.8) | 154.1 (-18.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -9.2 (-5.2) | 153.7 (-17.7) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#120) | 0.6 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#138) | -0.40 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#138) | -0.39 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#130) | 0.330 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.91 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 11.5% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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