Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -800 GB +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +23 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -10.1 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -6.6 (+16.4) | 131.3 (+3.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -10.1 (+12.9) | 131.2 (+3.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -6.2 (+16.8) | 131.8 (+3.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -6.2 (+16.8) | 131.9 (+3.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-1 | 2-10 |
| Away | 12-5 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 59.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#181) | -10.5 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#286) | -1.47 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#255) | -2.32 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#219) | 0.497 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.6% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 21.6% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 26.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 4.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.9% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 14.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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