Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -34.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ -20000 MVSU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +21 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -30.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -28.1 (-7.1) | 150.7 (-5.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -28.3 (-7.3) | 152.3 (-7.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -22.5 (-1.5) | 153.2 (-8.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -25.1 (-4.1) | 147.4 (-2.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2024 | MIZ 111 – 39 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 16-3 | 4-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#57) | -14.9 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#38) | -0.95 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#43) | -1.21 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#46) | 0.477 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.0% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 0.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 63.9% | 57.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.0% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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