Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -32.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +72 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -18.7 (+53.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -17.1 (+54.9) | 140.4 (+9.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -13.8 (+58.2) | 139.4 (+10.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2022 | MIZ 83 – 62 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 1-17 |
| Home | 18-2 | 2-9 |
| Away | 3-7 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.6 | 52.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 82.3 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#165) | -9.1 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#107) | -0.44 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#103) | -0.67 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.667 (#52) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 8.3% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 38.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 32.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 41.0% | 9.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 37.3% |
Game Analysis
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