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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–19 on winners spread MAE 9.2 60 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Stephen F. Austin @ South Dakota State	+4.7	145.7	58%	93–82	✗
Princeton @ Marist	-8.9	139.5	19%	62–55	✓
Bryant @ Florida International	-8.5	161.6	21%	91–85	✓
Coppin State @ Marshall	+15.1	162.1	88%	67–86	✓
St. Thomas @ Merrimack	-6.9	136.2	27%	72–61	✓
Kennesaw State @ App State	+1.1	138.4	62%	71–67	✗
The Citadel @ Butler	—	—	—	42–89	—
Stonehill @ Holy Cross	-3.6	151.6	32%	81–79	✓
SIU Edwardsville @ VMI	-2.2	143.7	35%	93–67	✓
Incarnate Word @ Valparaiso	+12.3	141.7	87%	64–68	✓
Seattle U @ Portland	+2.6	147.9	60%	80–68	✗
Georgia Southern @ Houston Christian	-2.0	138.7	29%	84–77	✓
UC Irvine @ Pepperdine	-2.1	134.9	58%	55–64	✗
Hofstra @ Saint Mary's	+10.8	129.6	73%	48–76	✓
Nicholls @ BYU	—	—	—	73–87	—
Troy @ Montana	-0.7	137.1	44%	73–62	✓
Portland State @ Oregon State	+3.2	144.2	53%	79–66	✗
Murray State @ Tulsa	+1.5	154.5	56%	77–60	✗
Furman @ South Carolina	-8.2	142.6	24%	79–60	✓
James Madison @ North Carolina	+1.2	154.0	66%	64–80	✓
Lindenwood @ Western Carolina	+4.2	138.3	69%	88–90	✓
Kennesaw State @ Campbell	+0.2	133.4	57%	61–85	✓
La Salle @ Georgetown	-1.1	147.9	50%	62–69	✗
Boston University @ New Hampshire	+1.5	141.2	43%	64–57	✗
East Texas A&M @ Eastern Kentucky	-0.2	134.0	40%	75–61	✓
Western Michigan @ Georgia Southern	-1.7	138.5	43%	57–63	✗
Central Connecticut @ UMBC	+5.2	145.9	76%	76–78	✓
Miami @ Maryland	+4.5	134.6	64%	70–88	✓
Massachusetts @ Charlotte	+4.3	128.0	61%	60–54	✗
Old Dominion @ Davidson	-2.4	147.5	42%	61–66	✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Longwood	+10.8	149.9	76%	61–56	✗
Montana State @ North Dakota	-8.8	131.1	19%	81–71	✓
Radford @ Army	—	—	—	90–75	—
Youngstown State @ Navy	+5.1	145.6	70%	67–80	✓
Siena @ Harvard	+4.4	144.0	63%	59–69	✓
Alabama State @ Pittsburgh	+11.6	147.0	87%	54–73	✓
Lamar @ McNeese	-4.5	146.4	55%	57–66	✗
SE Louisiana @ App State	+2.7	140.8	72%	74–83	✓
Wake Forest @ Loyola Marymount	-1.7	145.1	45%	75–77	✗
Illinois @ Virginia	-1.9	140.2	57%	61–70	✗
Texas Southern @ Samford	—	—	—	63–78	—
Prairie View A&M @ UT Martin	—	—	—	79–80	—
Wagner @ Seton Hall	+6.7	133.1	83%	44–82	✓
UNC Asheville @ Georgia State	-1.6	145.3	50%	68–74	✗
Providence @ Saint Louis	+0.9	153.0	50%	73–76	✓
Virginia Tech @ Charleston	-0.2	152.8	55%	75–77	✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Nebraska	+9.9	136.1	86%	58–82	✓
East Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech	-3.0	148.0	38%	62–69	✗
Texas A&M @ Loyola Chicago	-2.9	145.9	30%	67–51	✓
DePaul @ Oklahoma State	+1.3	137.5	61%	78–82	✓
VMI @ Fairleigh Dickinson	+0.4	145.0	55%	89–93	✓
Delaware State @ UConn	+24.6	137.9	91%	60–95	✓
North Carolina A&T @ Wofford	+12.7	143.3	86%	64–78	✓
VCU @ Memphis	+9.7	140.1	83%	47–62	✓
Queens University @ Morgan State	-3.5	142.0	28%	74–64	✓
UCLA @ Baylor	-0.9	153.6	52%	75–80	✗
Miami (OH) @ Indiana	+19.5	154.4	88%	56–86	✓
Drake @ Wyoming	-2.4	143.3	42%	61–56	✓
Penn State @ Colorado State	-1.6	133.2	40%	68–56	✓
Milwaukee @ Iowa State	—	—	—	53–68	—

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.