Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MORG +140 QUC -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +10 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | QUC -3.4 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -3.0 (-7.0) | 144.8 (-6.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -3.5 (-6.5) | 142.0 (-4.0) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -2.2 (-7.8) | 142.8 (-4.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -2.5 (-7.5) | 143.8 (-5.8) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#227) | 1.0 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#179) | 0.49 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#187) | 0.49 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#188) | 0.546 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.8% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 38.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.7% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 55.2% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.7% | 14.6% |
Game Analysis
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