Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC +275 ETSU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | ETSU -1.2 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -3.0 (+10.0) | 148.0 (-17.0) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -2.8 (+9.8) | 145.6 (-14.6) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -2.5 (+9.5) | 147.5 (-16.5) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -3.9 (+10.9) | 149.9 (-18.9) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | ETSU 73 – 72 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#328) | -0.2 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#336) | 0.01 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.69 (#336) | -0.19 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.331 (#322) | 0.466 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 23.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 79.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.6% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.