Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
South Carolina Gamecocks
60 – 79
FINAL Neutral Shriners Children's Charleston Classic
Furman Paladins
TD Arena (Neutral) · November 20, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread FUR -6.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money SC +210 / FUR -275
Model Predictions
Spread Total SC win
Actual FUR +19 139 Lost
Massey FUR -14.5 (-4.5) — —
Massey Totals — 141.1 (-2.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 75% ✗
Baseline Plus ML FUR -9.2 (-9.8) 140.7 (-1.7) 22% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FUR -8.2 (-10.8) 142.6 (-3.6) 24% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML FUR -7.8 (-11.2) 143.0 (-4.0) 24% ✓
Baseline ML FUR -8.5 (-10.5) 143.6 (-4.6) 23% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SC FUR
Overall 11-21 28-8
Conference 4-14 15-3
Home 7-8 14-2
Away 4-8 8-3
Neutral 0-5 6-3
Last 5 2-2 1-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 64.3 79.2
Avg Pts Against 72.6 71.4
Massey -13.0 (#352) 1.6 (#144)
Bradley-Terry -0.08 (#188) -1.22 (#288)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.47 (#207) -1.57 (#273)
RPI 0.526 (#153) 0.425 (#259)
Shooting & Four Factors SC FUR
FG% 37.1% 48.6%
3PT% 34.4% 36.0%
REB / G 40.0 34.7
OREB / G 13.5 9.7
AST / TO 0.68 1.32
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.5% 57.1%
TOV% 22.1% 18.1%
ORB% 34.0% 29.0%
FT Rate 18.3% 13.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 59.6%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 16.8%
DRB% 76.8% 79.8%
Opp FT Rate 13.2% 14.6%

Game Analysis

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