Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | HCU +180 GASO -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +7 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | HCU -2.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.4 (+30.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -1.3 (-5.7) | 137.6 (+23.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GASO -2.0 (-5.0) | 138.7 (+22.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GASO -0.3 (-6.7) | 133.7 (+27.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HCU -0.5 (-7.5) | 132.7 (+28.3) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2025 | GASO 80 – 62 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-12 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.0 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -15.0 (#357) | -9.5 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.14 (#351) | -1.08 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.81 (#351) | -1.73 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.285 (#341) | 0.372 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 25.3% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 12.9% |
| FT Rate | 9.8% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 57.8% | 78.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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