Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WYO +200 DRKE -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +5 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -6.2 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -3.7 (-1.3) | 144.2 (-27.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -2.4 (-2.6) | 143.3 (-26.3) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -3.9 (-1.1) | 144.1 (-27.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -3.7 (-1.3) | 146.1 (-29.1) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 15-5 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 1-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-6 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 64.4 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#244) | 3.1 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#218) | 1.24 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#224) | 1.35 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#289) | 0.533 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 51.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 33.1% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.1% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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