Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | CLT +138 MASS -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +6 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -9.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -3.6 (-9.6) | 130.4 (-16.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -4.3 (-10.3) | 128.0 (-14.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -5.1 (-11.1) | 129.2 (-15.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -4.3 (-10.3) | 130.9 (-16.9) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-1 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#23) | 2.4 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#21) | 1.88 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.64 (#24) | 2.98 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.659 (#40) | 0.582 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 81.0% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 13.6% |
Game Analysis
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