They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
Davidson Wildcats
66 – 61
FINAL Neutral Shriners Children's Charleston Classic
Old Dominion Monarchs
TD Arena (Neutral) · November 20, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread DAV -3.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money DAV -138 / ODU +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total DAV win
Actual DAV +5 127 Won
Massey ODU -6.8 (+11.8) — —
Massey Totals — 151.6 (-24.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ODU -3.0 (+8.0) 150.1 (-23.1) 33% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ODU -2.4 (+7.4) 147.5 (-20.5) 42% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML ODU -2.8 (+7.8) 149.0 (-22.0) 40% ✗
Baseline ML ODU -3.6 (+8.6) 150.2 (-23.2) 38% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DAV ODU
Overall 16-16 19-12
Conference 8-10 11-7
Home 7-8 12-4
Away 6-6 6-5
Neutral 3-2 1-3
Last 5 3-1 2-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.3 66.7
Avg Pts Against 68.8 66.5
Massey -4.5 (#265) 2.2 (#133)
Bradley-Terry 2.10 (#31) -0.25 (#203)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.63 (#53) -0.38 (#202)
RPI 0.650 (#49) 0.436 (#245)
Shooting & Four Factors DAV ODU
FG% 46.8% 46.3%
3PT% 34.4% 34.4%
REB / G 34.5 41.2
OREB / G 8.8 14.0
AST / TO 1.20 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.4% 50.6%
TOV% 18.5% 16.4%
ORB% 25.0% 38.1%
FT Rate 26.0% 21.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 53.3%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 14.8%
DRB% 66.0% 81.3%
Opp FT Rate 17.1% 27.4%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.