Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UNH +225 BU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +7 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | UNH -6.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (-33.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -3.2 (-10.2) | 149.8 (-28.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UNH -1.5 (-8.5) | 141.2 (-20.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UNH -3.9 (-10.9) | 150.7 (-29.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -3.8 (-10.8) | 150.2 (-29.2) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | UNH 88 – 82 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#243) | -1.3 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#195) | -0.10 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#188) | -0.26 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#243) | 0.439 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 47.1% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 10.9% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 25.1% |
| DRB% | 79.7% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.2% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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