Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | VMI +230 SIUE -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +26 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -4.9 (-21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -3.5 (-22.5) | 143.0 (+17.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -2.2 (-23.8) | 143.7 (+16.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -3.9 (-22.1) | 144.7 (+15.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -3.0 (-23.0) | 146.1 (+13.9) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-14 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#317) | -3.3 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#319) | -0.04 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.99 (#325) | -0.64 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.340 (#316) | 0.443 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.7% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 21.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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