Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | GTWN -150 LAS +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -1.4 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -1.6 (+8.6) | 149.3 (-18.3) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -1.1 (+8.1) | 147.9 (-16.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -1.4 (+8.4) | 147.1 (-16.1) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -1.1 (+8.1) | 149.7 (-18.7) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-12 | 8-7 |
| Away | 1-11 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#217) | -0.5 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#249) | 0.46 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#235) | 1.07 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#197) | 0.630 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.