Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | OKST -275 DEP +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +4 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -2.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (+29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -0.7 (+3.3) | 137.6 (+22.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -1.3 (+2.7) | 137.5 (+22.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -0.7 (+3.3) | 137.0 (+23.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -0.9 (+3.1) | 136.8 (+23.2) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 3-17 |
| Home | 12-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#119) | 0.4 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#283) | 1.80 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#262) | 2.53 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#241) | 0.660 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.8% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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