Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +13 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | ORST -2.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -6.3 (-19.3) | 143.8 (+1.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -3.2 (-16.2) | 144.2 (+0.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -4.7 (-17.7) | 142.3 (+2.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -6.9 (-19.9) | 140.0 (+5.0) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2022 | PRST 83 – 71 ORST |
| Nov 10, 2021 | ORST 73 – 64 PRST |
| Dec 23, 2020 | ORST 67 – 62 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 6-11 |
| Home | 10-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.5 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#199) | 4.1 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#92) | -0.56 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#92) | -0.63 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#83) | 0.474 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 10.4% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.5% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 56.0% |
Game Analysis
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