Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -6.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -4.0 (+8.0) | 143.3 (+10.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -4.1 (+7.9) | 142.8 (+11.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -3.6 (+8.4) | 142.9 (+11.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -4.0 (+8.0) | 143.9 (+10.1) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2022 | PRST 79 – 66 ORST |
| Nov 10, 2021 | ORST 73 – 64 PRST |
| Dec 23, 2020 | ORST 67 – 62 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 5-15 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-7 |
| Away | 5-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 60.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#142) | -5.0 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#162) | -1.56 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#132) | -1.83 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#122) | 0.365 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.3% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 44.2% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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