Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | ORST -1100 PRST +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +5 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -8.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -8.5 (-3.5) | 146.4 (-17.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -6.3 (-1.3) | 145.5 (-16.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -6.8 (-1.8) | 145.0 (-16.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -6.8 (-1.8) | 146.3 (-17.3) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2022 | PRST 83 – 71 ORST |
| Nov 20, 2022 | PRST 79 – 66 ORST |
| Nov 10, 2021 | ORST 73 – 64 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#231) | -8.0 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#239) | -1.18 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#211) | -2.63 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#231) | 0.387 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 35.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 24.5% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 40.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 35.5% |
Game Analysis
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