Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | CAM +100 KENN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +24 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -2.1 (+21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -1.3 (+22.7) | 139.4 (+6.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -0.2 (+23.8) | 133.4 (+12.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -1.6 (+22.4) | 138.7 (+7.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -2.3 (+21.7) | 138.9 (+7.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-10 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#75) | 3.9 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#120) | 1.55 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#101) | 2.34 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#88) | 0.612 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 82.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 37.7% |
Game Analysis
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