Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -1200 NICH +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +14 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -19.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -14.2 (-0.2) | 146.4 (+13.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -13.4 (+0.6) | 144.7 (+15.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -13.7 (+0.3) | 147.8 (+12.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#130) | -8.8 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#119) | -1.06 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#125) | -1.67 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.662 (#35) | 0.434 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.52 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 25.1% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 10.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 66.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 26.5% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 49.1% |
Game Analysis
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