Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MCN -300 LAM +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +9 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -4.9 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.2 (-36.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -5.0 (+14.0) | 150.1 (-27.1) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -4.5 (+13.5) | 146.4 (-23.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -5.0 (+14.0) | 149.3 (-26.3) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -4.5 (+13.5) | 149.0 (-26.0) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | MCN 64 – 63 LAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MCN 82 – 70 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MCN 63 – 54 LAM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MCN 68 – 66 LAM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MCN 75 – 64 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-23 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-8 | 6-9 |
| Away | 3-14 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -16.3 (#361) | -3.6 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.59 (#359) | -0.48 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.53 (#360) | -0.84 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.316 (#335) | 0.416 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 20.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.49 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.6% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 61.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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