Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LONG -450 SIUE +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +5 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -14.6 (-19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (-46.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -9.9 (-14.9) | 151.2 (-34.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -10.8 (-15.8) | 149.9 (-32.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -9.4 (-14.4) | 155.2 (-38.2) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -10.5 (-15.5) | 155.0 (-38.0) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LONG | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#116) | -3.3 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#258) | -0.04 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#280) | -0.64 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#264) | 0.443 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LONG | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 21.3% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 0.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.