Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | MINN +110 CBU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +1 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -6.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.0 (+8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -4.5 (+5.5) | 124.9 (-1.9) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -3.5 (+4.5) | 126.0 (-3.0) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -3.2 (+4.2) | 123.8 (-0.8) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -3.4 (+4.4) | 126.0 (-3.0) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 2-17 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-11 | 13-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.9 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#322) | -2.6 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#274) | -0.25 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#294) | -1.28 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#221) | 0.413 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 58.5% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.8% | 14.0% |
Game Analysis
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