Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | DUKE -4000 BELL +2200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +17 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | DUKE -25.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -23.1 (-6.1) | 133.3 (-2.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -22.1 (-5.1) | 130.2 (+0.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -20.0 (-3.0) | 132.2 (-1.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -23.5 (-6.5) | 132.4 (-1.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2020 | DUKE 76 – 54 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUKE | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 13.9 (#15) | -3.8 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#166) | -0.71 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#167) | -1.39 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#136) | 0.383 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUKE | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 47.2 | 27.7 |
| OREB / G | 18.2 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 47.7% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.2% | 36.0% |
Game Analysis
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