Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -1200 L-MD +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +31 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -6.5 (+24.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-34.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -7.8 (+23.2) | 142.9 (-29.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -8.5 (+22.5) | 137.0 (-24.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -6.7 (+24.3) | 144.8 (-31.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -6.2 (+24.8) | 145.4 (-32.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#254) | -3.3 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#195) | -0.69 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#210) | -1.02 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#153) | 0.467 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 62.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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