Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -1600 MONM +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +19 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -26.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -20.6 (-1.6) | 148.1 (+2.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -15.1 (+3.9) | 149.8 (+1.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -18.2 (+0.8) | 147.7 (+3.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -19.7 (-0.7) | 149.8 (+1.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2021 | MONM 77 – 66 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-2 | 3-10 |
| Away | 11-4 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 61.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#70) | -12.4 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#174) | -2.38 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#165) | -3.38 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#155) | 0.457 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 35.8% |
| 3PT% | 41.0% | 24.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.9% | 40.0% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 28.8% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 60.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 32.4% |
Game Analysis
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