Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
| Money | MONM -260 COLG +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +11 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -12.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -12.5 (-1.5) | 145.0 (-2.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -8.3 (+2.7) | 143.5 (-0.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -12.7 (-1.7) | 143.5 (-0.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -13.4 (-2.4) | 143.1 (-0.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2022 | COLG 85 – 66 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 16-2 |
| Home | 9-5 | 15-1 |
| Away | 10-7 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#47) | 1.0 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#30) | -0.75 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.03 (#36) | -0.70 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#31) | 0.443 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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