Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -275 UGA +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +14 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -8.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -4.8 (+9.2) | 149.3 (+10.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -6.7 (+7.3) | 148.4 (+11.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -4.7 (+9.3) | 146.0 (+14.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -4.0 (+10.0) | 146.0 (+14.0) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-10 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 17-2 | 13-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#71) | -2.0 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#247) | 0.92 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#250) | 1.38 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#292) | 0.584 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 42.8 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 36.8% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 77.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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