Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | URI +350 TULN -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | TULN -8.9 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -7.8 (+4.8) | 143.0 (+10.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -7.3 (+4.3) | 143.4 (+9.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -7.0 (+4.0) | 146.1 (+6.9) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -7.0 (+4.0) | 144.5 (+8.5) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-9 | 12-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#315) | 0.7 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#339) | 0.13 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.80 (#338) | 0.19 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.262 (#355) | 0.540 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 23.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 24.1% | 12.5% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 37.3% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.