Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | KSU -700 URI +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +20 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -16.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -14.4 (+5.6) | 134.1 (-0.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -14.2 (+5.8) | 133.0 (+1.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -11.7 (+8.3) | 132.4 (+1.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -13.5 (+6.5) | 132.7 (+1.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 16-1 | 7-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#48) | -8.2 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#59) | -2.49 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#56) | -3.80 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#122) | 0.262 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 23.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 37.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 32.8% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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