Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | LT -700 ULM +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +21 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | LT -30.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -21.4 (-0.4) | 147.2 (-10.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -19.7 (+1.3) | 146.7 (-9.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -23.5 (-2.5) | 148.0 (-11.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -23.8 (-2.8) | 146.5 (-9.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2023 | LT 73 – 63 ULM |
| Nov 25, 2021 | LT 96 – 74 ULM |
| Dec 23, 2020 | LT 68 – 57 ULM |
| Dec 4, 2020 | LT 78 – 62 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#108) | -19.0 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#227) | -1.61 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#220) | -2.52 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#127) | 0.368 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 28.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 19.5% |
| REB / G | 25.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 32.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 18.8% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.5% | 60.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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