Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -11.0 Push |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | ULM +500 LT -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +11 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -6.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -5.1 (-5.9) | 137.4 (-12.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -4.6 (-6.4) | 136.7 (-11.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -4.4 (-6.6) | 136.3 (-11.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -4.5 (-6.5) | 140.0 (-15.0) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2023 | LT 73 – 63 ULM |
| Nov 22, 2022 | LT 79 – 58 ULM |
| Nov 25, 2021 | LT 96 – 74 ULM |
| Dec 4, 2020 | LT 78 – 62 ULM |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.