Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Buccaneer Fieldhouse · November 22, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CHSO -0.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money CHSO +100 / BCU +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total CHSO win
Actual CHSO +15 141 Won
Massey CHSO -11.6 (+3.4) — —
Massey Totals — 150.1 (-9.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 70% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 66% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CHSO -6.5 (+8.5) 144.2 (-3.2) 79% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CHSO -5.0 (+10.0) 147.4 (-6.4) 71% ✓
Baseline ML CHSO -5.7 (+9.3) 149.3 (-8.3) 68% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CHSO -6.1 (+8.9) 144.8 (-3.8) 75% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 21, 2023 BCU 79 – 73 CHSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CHSO BCU
Overall 10-21 12-20
Conference 5-13 8-10
Home 6-8 8-5
Away 3-12 3-13
Neutral 1-1 1-2
Last 5 0-2 0-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.4 67.3
Avg Pts Against 75.4 76.6
Massey -6.5 (#290) -10.5 (#341)
Bradley-Terry -0.97 (#260) -0.20 (#199)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.46 (#259) -0.16 (#190)
RPI 0.479 (#210) 0.583 (#91)
Shooting & Four Factors CHSO BCU
FG% 37.7% 36.8%
3PT% 36.0% 25.8%
REB / G 33.5 26.0
OREB / G 13.5 7.5
AST / TO 1.09 0.54
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.2% 40.2%
TOV% 16.1% 23.9%
ORB% 30.7% 19.5%
FT Rate 9.4% 11.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.3% 62.6%
Opp TOV% 14.1% 16.5%
DRB% 62.5% 61.7%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 24.4%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.