Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | BCU -120 CHSO +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -17.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -10.5 (-4.5) | 141.5 (+10.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -10.9 (-4.9) | 139.9 (+12.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -10.3 (-4.3) | 142.3 (+9.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2022 | CHSO 78 – 63 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-10 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#268) | -14.6 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#278) | -2.93 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#270) | -4.87 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#251) | 0.451 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 32.9% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 22.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 22.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 35.7% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 25.3% |
| ORB% | 44.0% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 31.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 10.8% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 58.7% | 34.2% |
Game Analysis
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