Betting Lines
| Spread | SFPA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SFPA -110 LEH +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFPA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +6 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | SFPA -10.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFPA -4.4 (-10.4) | 139.6 (+18.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFPA -5.7 (-11.7) | 138.8 (+19.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SFPA -6.2 (-12.2) | 139.4 (+18.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFPA -6.4 (-12.4) | 139.8 (+18.2) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | LEH 79 – 62 SFPA |
| Nov 27, 2024 | SFPA 88 – 78 LEH |
| Nov 30, 2023 | SFPA 62 – 61 LEH |
| Nov 29, 2021 | SFPA 79 – 68 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFPA | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#240) | -6.2 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#328) | -1.46 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.96 (#321) | -2.92 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.270 (#352) | 0.443 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFPA | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 19.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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