Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | LEH -160 SFPA +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFPA +11 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -6.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -0.7 (-11.7) | 145.6 (+1.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -3.6 (-14.6) | 143.8 (+3.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -3.9 (-14.9) | 144.6 (+2.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -1.5 (-12.5) | 145.9 (+1.1) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | LEH 79 – 62 SFPA |
| Nov 27, 2024 | SFPA 88 – 78 LEH |
| Nov 30, 2023 | SFPA 62 – 61 LEH |
| Nov 22, 2022 | LEH 82 – 76 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-7 | 4-8 |
| Away | 4-12 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#254) | -3.5 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.80 (#340) | -1.94 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.56 (#343) | -2.97 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#327) | 0.359 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 24.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 40.2% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.