Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | LEH -700 SFPA +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +17 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -21.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -13.4 (+3.6) | 142.0 (-1.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -15.0 (+2.0) | 142.9 (-1.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -15.6 (+1.4) | 140.8 (+0.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -14.6 (+2.4) | 141.4 (-0.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2024 | SFPA 88 – 78 LEH |
| Nov 30, 2023 | SFPA 62 – 61 LEH |
| Nov 22, 2022 | LEH 82 – 76 SFPA |
| Nov 29, 2021 | SFPA 79 – 68 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 5-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 83.1 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#228) | -18.0 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#239) | -3.65 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#224) | -6.23 (#365) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#94) | 0.252 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 27.0 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 17.8% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 12.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 63.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 62.0% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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