Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | LEH -1100 SFPA +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFPA +1 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -20.1 (-21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -13.6 (-14.6) | 135.0 (-12.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -12.2 (-13.2) | 137.9 (-14.9) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -13.2 (-14.2) | 138.8 (-15.8) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -14.1 (-15.1) | 134.6 (-11.6) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | LEH 79 – 62 SFPA |
| Nov 27, 2024 | SFPA 88 – 78 LEH |
| Nov 22, 2022 | LEH 82 – 76 SFPA |
| Nov 29, 2021 | SFPA 79 – 68 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 3-13 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-8 |
| Away | 8-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#191) | -14.7 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#302) | -3.87 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#278) | -6.67 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#246) | 0.344 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 36.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 22.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 27.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 40.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 59.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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