Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | CIN +163 OSU -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +28 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -11.5 (-16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -7.0 (-21.0) | 139.1 (-5.1) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -9.2 (-18.8) | 139.9 (-5.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -7.5 (-20.5) | 139.2 (-5.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -7.9 (-20.1) | 140.4 (-6.4) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-15 |
| Home | 16-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#189) | 10.7 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#156) | 0.77 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#183) | 1.12 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#180) | 0.431 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 49.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.3 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 38.3% | 39.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 33.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 12.0% |
Game Analysis
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