Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -333 CSUB +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +10 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -6.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.0 (+18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -5.2 (-15.2) | 124.8 (+11.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -6.4 (-16.4) | 122.5 (+13.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -3.8 (-13.8) | 128.9 (+7.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -4.2 (-14.2) | 129.4 (+6.6) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-14 |
| Home | 13-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 7-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 59.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#98) | -1.9 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#83) | 0.35 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#84) | 0.04 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.728 (#13) | 0.461 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 33.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 37.0% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.3% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.