Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -1.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -0.7 (-3.7) | 137.0 (+8.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -0.8 (-3.8) | 138.7 (+6.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -1.0 (-4.0) | 136.2 (+8.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -1.3 (-4.3) | 137.5 (+7.5) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-7 |
| Away | 1-11 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#139) | 0.7 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#257) | -1.72 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#219) | -2.78 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#251) | 0.394 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.8% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 9.4% |
Game Analysis
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