Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | WEB +160 UCR -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +7 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -10.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -9.3 (+2.3) | 135.2 (+1.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -6.9 (-0.1) | 133.2 (+3.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -6.2 (-0.8) | 135.0 (+2.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -6.9 (-0.1) | 135.6 (+1.4) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#330) | 0.8 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#295) | 1.93 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.30 (#329) | 2.49 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#254) | 0.642 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.7% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 19.6% | 22.2% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.48 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.6% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.6% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 79.3% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.